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ING on on Wednesday's Refunding.............>

US TSYS
US TSYS: ING on on Wednesday's Refunding announcement: "On the one hand, this is
a record high for the 3yr, 10yr and 30yr mid-month instalment. On the other, it
is not a massive uplift from the $84bn that has typically been done. The nuance
is the extra issuance in the longer tenors, and moreover an extra $20bn to be
done in a new 20yr, as a separate exercise a week later."
- "While pressure for high long tenor rates makes sense if there is more supply
being pushed out there, it is also important that it does not become a
persistent pressure. Low rates are part of the solution here. Cheap funding
costs are a requirement for all players, and the US Treasury curve sets the base
funding cost."
- "Given the dis-inflation environment that we have, there is no huge risk here.
But at the same time, it is one that needs monitoring. For now, the most likely
outcome is a moderately steeper curve from the back end, with the 2yr still
anchored on the front end (in fact still could get to zero before we're finished
with this mess)."

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