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Initial USD Strength Fades With Month-End Flow Eyed

FOREX
  • The greenback traded on the front foot for much of the Friday session, with markets watching for front-loaded month-end flow that was speculated to be USD positive. Initial USD gains helped spur further upside in USD/JPY, which spilled above Y110.00 for the first time since early April.
  • This price action swiftly reversed following the Friday WMR fix, with the USD drifting to press the USD Index back toward the 90.00 handle.
  • EUR/USD recouped the day's losses as markets eyed an MNI report citing sources as saying the ECB's PEPP purchases could half after the 'active' phase concludes in March. EUR/USD remains in the March-May uptrend, but Friday's initial weakness has worked against this pattern.
  • The coming week will likely get off to a slow start, with a UK and US market holiday Monday likely keeping activity muted. After that, China's PMI, prelim inflation data from Germany, the RBA rate decision and the May nonfarm payrolls release.

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