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Is Cable Heading To Parity?

GBPUSD TECHS
  • Looking at the long-term chart, activity during August resulted in a monthly close below the 1.2000 handle. This is the first time this has happened since the 1984/85 period. A September close below 1.2000 looks likely.
  • The latest move below 1.2000 also means that we've likely seen the end of a sideways range bound phase in the pair that started in October 2016. This highlights an important range breakout.
  • Short, medium and long-term trend signals remain bearish at this stage.
  • Finally, we also have the scenario, where USD strength together with Sterling weakness is weighing on the pair.
  • The next major support to watch is 1.0520, the Feb 1985 low. If that is breached, it would expose parity.
  • Time will tell whether a major reversal develops between current levels (1.1300/1400) and parity in the months ahead.
  • Until then the risk is clearly skewed to the downside and parity appears exposed.

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