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ISM: Underlying Employment And Inflation Gauges Weakening

DATA REACT

Despite the headline beat in the US ISM manufacturing index (59.9 in Aug vs 58.5 expected and 59.5 prior), note that price pressures are levelling out (79.4 index in August, down for the 2nd straight month and the lowest reading of 2021).

  • Also, employment is lower (49.0, vs 52.9 prior and the lowest reading since Nov 2020).
  • Pretty much every respondent lamenting supply-chain issues: (the full ISM August report)
  • In terms of Fed policy-setting, therefore, this is a modest boost for doves seeing inflation as transitory and still awaiting "substantial further progress" before tapering.


Source: ISM, MNI

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