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ITALY DATA: July Manuf PMI: Demand Weakness Limits Input Cost Pass-on

ITALY DATA

The Italian July manufacturing PMI was stronger than expected at 47.4 (vs 46.0 cons, 45.7 prior). However, the print remains below the 49.2 average seen in Q1.

As in Spain, shipping delays from the Red Sea were cited, and pushed input costs higher. However, weak demand conditions meant that overall pass-on was muted. A reminder that the uptick in Italian goods inflation in July was due to less Summer sales discounting than in 2023 (particularly in e.g. clothing and footwear). 

Key notes from the release:

  • “Overall weakness in business conditions was mainly demand-driven, with new orders falling sharply in July. As well as the demand environment, panellist blamed ongoing geopolitical tensions”. 
  • “In line with total new orders, client demand from abroad also weakened markedly”.
  • “Where manufacturers were purchasing inputs, supplier delivery times lengthened”… “firms blamed the delays on the Red Sea crisis and longer delivery times from the East”
  • “Linked to higher energy and raw material prices, cost pressures faced by Italian goods producers continued to build”… “firms opted not to pass higher cost burdens to customers”.

 

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