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Jan Manufacturing PMI Shows Initial Signs of Demand Recovery

TURKEY
MNI (London)

TURKEY JAN MANUFACTURING PMI 50.1; DEC 48.1

The Turkish manufacturing PMI rose two points in January, edging back into cautiously expansive territory at 50.1. This was the >50 print since Feb '22.

  • Declines in output and new orders were marginal in January as demand (including for exports) showed tentative signs of improvement. Employment ticked up for a third month.
  • Yet inflationary pressures intensified into 2023.
  • Cost inflation accelerated sharply due to minimum wage increases alongside high raw material costs. This in addition to lira weakness led firms to raise output prices the fastest since June '22.
  • Turkish industrial production contracted for the first time since the 2020 pandemic shock in November (-1.3% m/m). This data is evidence for the year-end contraction having like been brief.

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