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Japan CPI Applies Light Pressure To USD/JPY

JPY

Firmer-than-expected Japanese CPI data provided support for the JPY during Tokyo trade.

  • USD/JPY’s technical picture remains unchanged, with a bullish flag pattern seemingly forming.
  • The ’24 and Nov ’23 highs present technical resistance.
  • Conversely the 20- & 50-day EMAs provide initial support.
  • Expect yield differentials to drive matters in the sessions ahead, with Thursday’s U.S. PCE release providing the next tier 1 data release.
  • Zooming out, our policy team has flagged April as the most likely timing re: a BoJ policy move.
  • A recent insight piece from the team suggested that “the BoJ board's decision to exit negative rates policy at the April 25-26 meeting will hinge on services price inflation within the Tokyo CPI due to be published on the last day of the meeting,”

Fig. 1: USD/JPY

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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