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Free AccessJGB's have largely ignored the Japanese data...>
JGBS: JGB's have largely ignored the Japanese data dump earlier in the session.
The CPI data was always going to be a damp squib with the BoJ recently pushing
back estimates of when the 2% inflation target would be hit and acknowledgement
of a weak inflation trend.
- Markets also chose to ignore the strong Household Spending data (2.3% vs 0.5%
estimate and -0.1% in May) and a jobless rate that matches a multi-year low at
(2.8% vs 3.0% estimate and 3.1% in May).
- The BoJ Summary of Opinions from the July meeting also seems to have been
ignored. This was the last meeting with Kiuchi and Sato (only hawkish
dissenters) on the BoJ board, so the scope of policy debate will likely change
significantly at the next meeting in September. One member did note that the
10-Year yield target shouldn't be taken so strictly, while one member proposed a
Y45tln monetary base target (currently Y80tln) and a gradual exit.
- JGB's moving in a range with some selling seen at the long end of the curve
with yields outperforming swaps. Focus now on the BoJ purchase operations, small
chance of reduction in 5-10 Year purchases (last Y470bln)
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.