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JKM-TTF Spreads Widens Again

LNG

Higher TTF prices have pushed the JKM-TTF spread back out to -19.75$/mmbtu.

  • Despite JKM reaching a record weekly average last week prices still come in well below the European benchmark gas price. JKM is still at approximately the same level as the 42.5$/mmbtu weekly record while TTF has pushed back above 200€/MWh.
  • The US LNG netback to Europe is up as high as 49.87$/mmbtu while the netback to Asia is 32.05$/mmbtu for September.
  • LNG net imports into Europe are still up near 190mcm/d compared to 5-year average levels of below 60mcm/d.
  • 53 cargoes arrived in to NW Europe in July compared to 51.5 in June and 19 in July 2021.
  • The forward curve shows TTF trading above JKM until the end of 2023.

Source: Bloomberg

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