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Jobless Claims Data Better Than Expected

US DATA
  • Overshadowed by surprisingly large, and dovish (clearly important at this stage of the cycle) GDP revisions for a third release, jobless claims came in better than expected.
  • Initial jobless claims only increased 2k to a seasonally adjusted 205k (cons 215k) in the week to Dec 16 for a second week of surprising lower. Being a payrolls reference week, it left claims tentatively below the 211k in the November payrolls reference period.
  • It also saw the four-week average ease 2k to 212k, its lowest since late October.
  • Continuing claims also surprised lower with a seasonally adjusted 1865k (cons 1880k) in the week to Dec 9 after a downward revised 1866k (initial 1876k).
  • Eyeballing the raw NSA data, both initial and continuing claims look more in keeping with typical seasonal patterns after recent noise around the Thanksgiving holiday.

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