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Jyske Results Due 27-Feb: High Expectations

FINANCIALS

Jyske Bank results due 27-Feb. Peer results have been good but there’s a lot of positive expectation baked into the curve, we feel.


  • Results will continue to be distorted by the acquisition of Handelsbanken Denmark but underlying revenues grew mid-single digits in 3Q23 and the pre-close briefing indicated what looks like better growth and there’s been around a 10% uplift to revenue expectations since.
  • Credit losses and non-performers are guided as being low and relatively stable; peer Danske saw credit write-back in 4Q23 and NPLs marginally lower.
  • Jyske equity is up a c.7% YTD (4-5pp better than the SX7P) and its EUR curve has tightened by 6-16bp (g-spread) so there’s a lot of positive expectations baked into the credit, in our view. Relative to larger and similarly-rate Danske, the short end of Jyske’s curve is tighter.

Results expected at 0600 and conf call is 1010 London time at: link

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