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SWITZERLAND DATA: KOF December Deterioration Was Broad-Based

SWITZERLAND DATA

The Swiss KOF Economic Barometer dropped to 99.5 in December, below consensus of 101.0 as well as November's 102.9 (upwardly revised by 1.1). This is the lowest index value since January.

  • "The indicator bundles included in the Economic Barometer all contribute to the negative development. In particular, the indicator bundles for manufacturing and for other services, as well as the indicator bundles for the hospitality industry, for foreign demand and for private consumption decrease considerably.", KOF adds.
  • Note that the SNB slightly lowered its 2025 growth outlook for the Swiss economy at its December meeting - to between 1.0% to 1.5% (from a prior 1.5% point estimate) despite a significantly lower policy rate. The SNB sees the largest risks from weaker international developments.
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The Swiss KOF Economic Barometer dropped to 99.5 in December, below consensus of 101.0 as well as November's 102.9 (upwardly revised by 1.1). This is the lowest index value since January.

  • "The indicator bundles included in the Economic Barometer all contribute to the negative development. In particular, the indicator bundles for manufacturing and for other services, as well as the indicator bundles for the hospitality industry, for foreign demand and for private consumption decrease considerably.", KOF adds.
  • Note that the SNB slightly lowered its 2025 growth outlook for the Swiss economy at its December meeting - to between 1.0% to 1.5% (from a prior 1.5% point estimate) despite a significantly lower policy rate. The SNB sees the largest risks from weaker international developments.
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