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Koruna Appreciates Ahead Of CNB Meeting This Week

CZK

EUR/CZK is under pressure today and last operates -0.044 at 24.364, approaching its recent lows. Bears look for a move towards the 23.6% retracement of the YtD upswing/former resistance zone at 24.316/24.300. In the EMEA FX space, PLN and CZK are among the best performers, while their CE3 peer HUF lags behind.

  • CZGB curve has bear flattened, with the short end suffering heaviest losses as 2s cheapen by 14.5bp. This coincides with upticks in Czech FRAs, albeit in this case the move is more evident further out the curve, with 3x6 contracts virtually unchanged.
  • The government announced that it will reduce bond issuance to CZK29bn next month from this month's target of up to CZK31bn. The indicative bond supply for the whole Q4 is up to CZK100bn.
  • All eyes are on the CNB this week, even as the central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged (click here to see our preview). The Bank Board may shed some light on its strategy for future monetary easing.

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