Free Trial

Koruna Appreciates, CNB's Prochazka Signals Caution Around FX Rate

CZK

EUR/CZK has unwound its initial uptick and sunk into negative territory, although for now its moves have been confined to a familiar trading range. The pair last sits -0.018 at 25.334, with bears looking for further losses past the 25.00 figure and Jan 2 high of 24.867. Bulls see Feb 15 high of 25.519 as their initial target.

  • CNB's Prochazka joined his colleagues in signalling a sense of concern with koruna weakness, noting that the central bank will ease policy cautiously to avoid further currency depreciation, which has been a "big topic" for the Bank Board. Some of the recent comments on that front appear to be damage control after Governor Michl said that the koruna did not play a fundamental role in the Board's deliberations at the most recent monetary policy meeting.
  • Czechia's unemployment remained at 4.0% in February, in line with expectations, but analysts polled by CTK said that the weakness in the Czech economy is translating into fewer vacancies. Still, they do not expect unemployment to pose a significant problem for the country.
  • Trade surplus narrowed to CZK3.7bn in January from CZK5.3bn versus expectations of an expansion to CZK12.2bn.
  • CZGB yields are lower across the curve, with the short end outperforming. The PX Index has edged higher, adding 0.3% so far.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.