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Labour data slightly better than expected overall but little mkt react

UK DATA
  • UK data on the whole slightly better than expected. Avg wages inc/ex bonus both rose 0.1ppt more than expected and are both now running at above 5%. The payrolls number was 71k (marginally higher than the 60k expected) and the official unemployment rate fell two ppt to 3.6%.
  • The economic inactivity rate increased by 0.4ppt (driving the fall in UnE): "largely driven by those aged 16 to 24 years and those aged 50 to 64 years. Looking at economic inactivity by reason, the increase during the latest three-month period was driven by those inactive because they are students or long-term sick."
  • Vacancies fell at the largest quarterly pace since Jun-Aug 2020, but are still 59% above pre-covid levels.
  • "Growth in total and regular pay fell in real terms (adjusted for inflation) on the year in May to July 2022, at 2.6% for total pay and 2.8% for regular pay; this is slightly smaller than the record fall we saw last month (3.0%), but still remains among the largest falls in growth since comparable records began in 2001."
  • Little movement in EURGBP with GBPUSD moving 15 pips higher.

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