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Lack Of RBA Policy Pivot Sees Modest Amount Of Rate Hike Pricing Unwound

STIR

The lack of RBA policy pivot re: rate hikes in today’s statement (see earlier bullets for greater colour) allowed the IB strip to unwind a very modest amount of the rate hike premium that was priced in pre-RBA. Still, IB volumes were light, with the biggest move coming in the Jul-Oct ’22 zone of the strip, which saw ~8bp of the tightening pricing unwound. A 15bp rate hike is now fully priced for June ’22 vs. May ’22 pre-RBA. Focus moves to RBA Governor Lowe’s first address of ’22, which will take place on Wednesday.


Fig. 1: RBA Cash Rate Pricing Implied By The IB Strip

Source: MNI - Market News/ASX/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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