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ECB's Lane Pushes Back On Market Hike Pricing

EURIBOR

ECB Lane's comments on market pricing being challenging to reconcile w ECB forward guidance, a pretty clear instance of pushing back against market hiking expectations, has spurred a bit of relief in Euribor futures- reds through blues briefly moving up 3-4 ticks (see Dec22 contract in chart).

  • Euribor is now off post-2020 lows set earlier this afternoon, and as we pointed out earlier (1351BST), the rate path implied by the Euribor strip seem out of sync with forward inflation swaps which remain relatively under control.
  • Lane's full quote (per Reuters): "When you look at market prices of the forward interest rate curve I think it's challenging to reconcile some of the market views with our pretty clear, straightforward forward guidance."

Dec22

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