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Largest Weekly Mortgage Rate Decline In Over A Year

US DATA
  • MBA mortgage applications increased 2.5% in the week to Nov 3, with similar increases across both purchases (3%) and refis (2%).
  • It was helped by a large 25bp decline in the 30Y conforming mortgage rate to 7.61%, down from 7.86% and the 7.90% the week before that which had marked fresh cycle highs at levels last seen in 2000.
  • It’s the largest single weekly decline in the mortgage rate in over a year, although the rate only drops back to end-Sept levels.
  • The spread to 10Y Treasury yields remains around the 300bp mark.

MBA 30Y contract rate (white), 10Y Tsy yield (pink), spread (red) and level of purchase applications (green)Source: Bloomberg

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