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Policy
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Data
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Global Macro
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessLate SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Better Puts Post NFP
- SOFR and Treasury options segued from better put trade to calls as this morning's employment data showed nearly twice the amount of jobs gained (+336k) than expected (+170k), quashing hopes of a continued rally in the underlying since Wednesday's lower than expected ADP - on hopes of softer policy ahead.
- Rate hike projections into early 2024 climbed back to Wednesday highs after this morning's data, spurring better put buying: November at 30.5% (22.2% pre-data) w/ implied rate change of +7.6bp to 5.405%, December cumulative of 12.4bp (9.7bp prior) at 5.452%, January 2024 11.9bp (8.4bp prior) at 5.448%. Fed terminal climbs to 5.45% in Jan'24.
- Link to option trade SUMMARY
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.