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Stronger In a Range

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Weaker In A Range

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Ending The Week On A Soft Note

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SP500 PE Ratio vs. CPI Inflation

US

The latest poll from IBD/TIPP shows Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leading Republican Donald Trump by 48% to 46%.

  • Biden (D): 48% (-2), Trump (R): 46% (+2), Jorgensen (L): 3% (+1), Hawkins (G): 1% (-), IBD/TIPP / October 19, 2020 / n=1064 / Online (% chg w Oct 18)
  • The 2% gap is the narrowest in any nationwide opinion poll since a Zogby Strategies poll on October 2 that had Biden on 47% and Trump on 45%.
  • It should be noted that the narrow gap in the IBD/TIPP poll is a significant outlier, with the Biden lead in nationwide polls from October 12-19 ranging from 5% to 18%.
Chart 1. Nationwide Opinion Polling, % with Trendline

Source: Multiple polling agencies, MNI

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-0981 | tom.lake@marketnews.com