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Free AccessLeftists Leading In Early Presidential Polls
Early opinion polling ahead of Chile's November presidential election shows two potential left-wing candidates leading in the first round, with the likely main centre-right alliance candidate in third place.
- First Round, Criteria / Agenda Criteria poll: Jiles (PH, left): 18% (+7), Jadue (PCCh, left): 16% (+3), Lavin (UDI, conservative): 13% (-1). +/- 26-30 March '21. Fieldwork: 29 April-3 May '21 Sample size: 1,592
- Second Round Lavin vs Jadue scenario, Criteria / Agenda Criteria poll: Lavín (UDI, conservative): 54%, Jadue (PCCh, left): 46%. Fieldwork: 29 April-3 May '21. Sample size: 1,592
- Second Round Lavin vs Jiles scenario, Criteria / Agenda Criteria poll: Jiles (PH, left): 53%, Lavín (UDI, conservative): 47%, Fieldwork: 29 April-3 May '21. Sample size: 1,592
- It should be noted that the main centre-left Constituent Unity alliance and centre-right Chile Vamos alliance do not hold their primaries until 4 July. After this point with candidates selected we could see the two selected make gains on the Communist candidate Daniel Jadue and the Humanist Party candidate Pamela Jiles.
- However, there will be observers wary that in neighbouring Peru, which like Chile has experienced political upheaval in recent years, a far-left candidate has made it to the second round of the presidential election amidst a fractured political landscape. With the left polling well early in the presidential race, there is little reason to expect a similar outcome in Chile is impossible.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.