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Libya’s 2m b/d Output Target Strained by Political Instability: Platts

OIL

Libya’s target to raise production to 2m b/d faces pressure from political instability driven by the UN backed process to bring about elections, according to Platts.

  • Libya has already seen the 300k b/d Sharara field – Libya’s largest – shut due to protests. This was followed by threats to close a further 23 oil fields and protest as the 120k b/d Zawiya refinery.
  • Libya wants to raise output to 2m b/d in 3-5 years, Platts said.
  • While the Sharara protest should not push the expansion project off track – provided it is short lived – it marks a return to protester driven disruption to output. This could be worsened by any contested elections.
  • "What we may well see is that another government is attempted to be produced, which is subsequently contested, and that might be a source of conflict ...which would undoubtedly seep into the oil and gas sector," Chatham House’s Tim Eaton said.

Source: S&P Global Commodity Insights

Source: S&P Global Commodity Insights

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