May 17, 2024 13:25 GMT
Limited Upside to US Natgas on Price vs Coal and Well Restarts: Goldman
NATGAS
US natural gas prices have rallied 30% in the last three weeks with a return above $2/mmbtu in line with expectation according to Goldman Sachs.
- The rise is driven by a decline in output from producer cuts and maintenance as well as higher LNG terminal feedgas demand and expectations.
- LNG feedgas has been boosted by the return of Freeport LNG from an extended outage and with no Cheniere plans for heavy maintenance this year.
- Production curtailments would ultimately lead to lower storage congestion risks for this summer but limited further upside from current levels is expected.
- Higher gas prices reduce gas competitiveness relative to coal, although more visible in shoulder months, and incentivize the restart of shut-in wells.
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