Free Trial

Little change for BOE expectations: CPI only saw very minor surprise

UK DATA
  • With services CPI in line with the Bank's February MPR forecasts (after a -0.1ppt miss last month), we think that there will be very little impact on the MPC decision, and that we will continue to see a 1-6-2 vote split with no material changes to the guidance. Indeed, as flagged above, headline CPI is a tenth lower than BOE forecasts.
  • And in terms of analyst expectations, we had noted that 9/19 analysts previews that we read rounded to 3.4%Y/Y or lower headline CPI anyway. While 7/15 analysts had expected services CPI at 6.1%Y.Y or higher. So the median expectation was almost spot on.

For our full BOE preview see.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.