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Korean Exports Post Upside Surprise

KRW

South Korean export growth was better than expected, rising 21.3% versus 18.4% expected. There was a small upward revision to the previous month (12.9% versus 12.6% originally reported).

  • A higher working day count in May of this year compared to last year helped the headline number, but exports to China moved back into positive YoY territory (+1.2%), versus a fall in April, so that also clearly helped. Exports to other regions remained firmed.
  • At an aggregate level it suggests some stability for key exporters in the region, where growth has generally been trending lower since the start of the year, see the chart below, which plots South Korea export growth against equivalent growth for China, Taiwan and Singapore.
  • Semi-conductors and oil-related exports were the sources of strength for Korea.
  • Higher commodity prices kept imports strong in YoY terms, rising 32%, versus 31.4% expected.
  • The trade deficit was better than expected at -$1705mn, versus -$2500mn consensus.

Fig 1: Export Growth for South Korea & Key EM Asia Economies

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


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