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Long End Slides With Fedspeak Centre Of Otherwise Bare Docket

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys see a sizeable twist steepening with the very long end cheapening doing all the lifting as 2s30s inversion retraces.
  • Long-end weakness is widespread across global core FI (UK 30Y outperforming, German 30Y underperforming) which sees the gap to UK yields widen slightly after the US 30Y re-exceeded the UK mid-week with a further climbdown of British fiscal plans and PM Truss’ resignation.
  • 2YY -0.7bps at 4.603%, 5YY +1.3bps at 4.458%, 10YY +4.5bps at 4.274%, and 30YY +8.1bps at 4.3%.
  • TYZ2 trades 5+ ticks lower at 109-06, just off session lows of 109-03+ on modestly above average volumes. It sees the bear trend extend, through support at 109-12+ (0.764 proj of Oct 4-10-13 price swing) to open 108-20 (1 proj).
  • Fedspeak: Williams (0910ET), Evans (0940ET) and Daly (1130ET) – latter not on BBG calendar
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $57B 13W, $45B 26W bill auctions – 1130ET

30Y yields for US (white) and UK (yellow)Source: Bloomberg

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