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Low Cushing Stocks Could Maintain WTI Rally

OIL

Premiums for near term WTI will continue their rally unless Cushing stocks see substantial builds, according to Bloomberg.

  • Crude inventories at Cushing fell for the seventh week with a draw of 943k this week, taking stocks to the lowest since July 2022 at 21.96mbbls amid strong refining and export demand. The operational low is around 20m bbl.
  • The last time stocks were at this low a level in July 20222 when WTI futures were trading above $100/b.
  • WTI’s prompt backwardation spread, has risen to its widest since June 2022, as storage falls to near its operational minimums.
  • In current conditions with more Saudi Arabia and Russian tapering their output, supplies are tightening and Cushing stockpiles may further deplete, providing more support to prices.
  • WTI NOV 23 up 3.7% at 93.73$/bbl
  • WTI NOV 23-DEC 23 up 0.72$/bbl at 2.33$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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