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Lower Yields, As BI May Have Scope To Cut In H2

INDONESIA
  • The Indonesia economy is showing signs of moderating which potentially creates policy flexibility for the Central Bank at their next meeting.
  • The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI slipped into decline for July unexpectedly.
  • Indonesian CPI also moderated to 2.13% (versus 2.51% prior).
  • The Indonesia Finance Minister guided markets that expectations for growth remain in the 5-5.2% range.
  • Coupled with a global move lower in developed market yields, Friday saw local yields down 1-5bps across the curve.
  • Moves from the week were significant as investors speculate that the Central Bank now has the flexibility to cut in the second half of the year.

Weekly Moves

2yr 6.4% (-10bp) 5yr 6.64% (-9bp) 10yr 6.8% (-14bp) 30yr 6.96% (-10bp)

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