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Lufthansa 2-3bps tighter today as its trades past continuing headlines on strikes

TRANSPORTATION
  • News reports over weekend are for Cabin crew strikes on Tuesday & Wednesday as they ask for +15% wage increase. It follows ground staff striking for 2 days last week - they were seeking a +12.5% raise.
  • LHA expects this week's strikes to impact 100k passengers (vs. last week strikes est. impact of 200k passengers). As point of reference, it estimated a cost of €100m from Jan/Feb strikes (it guiding to FCF of >€1.5b this yr).
  • FY23 results last week were slight miss; leverage up over the qtr on pension liability vol. and guiding for FCF slightly below consensus. It also restarte dividends (it sees BS/leverage healthy here) at ~€360m/yr (at low-end of pay-out ratio/expected to grow).
  • Perhaps reflecting some of the above, it is a name that's struggled to price to its firm IG rating. We don't see any point of concern for IG status from last weeks numbers.

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