MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 13

MNI BRIEF: PBOC To Curb Any Yuan Overshot : PBOC Zou

MNI: GERMANY OCT EXPORTS -2.8% M/M (VS FCST -2.6%)

CHINA YTD NEW LOANS CNY17.1 TRLN VS MEDIAN CNY17.5 TRLN: PBOC

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY14.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1876 Fri; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI: EUROZONE OCT IP +0% M/M, -1.2% Y/Y

MNI: SPAIN NOV HICP +0% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y

MNI: FRANCE NOV HICP -0.1% M/M, +1.7% Y/Y

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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(M4) Fades on Foreign Hawkish Tilt

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS
  • RES 3: 96.540 - High Feb 2 and a Key resistance
  • RES 2: 96.506 - High Mar 11
  • RES 1: 96.240 - High Apr 19
  • PRICE: 96.000 @ 16:19 BST May 28
  • SUP 1: 95.730 - 76.4% retracement of the Jan - Feb rally
  • SUP 2: 95.480 - Low Oct 31
  • SUP 3: 95.330 - 2.618 proj of the Feb 2 - Feb 14 - Mar 11 price swing

Prices reversed on both US and NZ factors last-week, putting bonds within range of the 96.00 handle. A break back below here would confirm the Aussie 3yr futures trend condition as bearish despite the recent bounce. The recent leg lower suggests potential for a continuation near-term towards 95.730, a Fibonacci retracement point. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 96.240, the Apr 19 high. A break of this level would reinstate a bullish theme and refocus attention on gains towards 96.540, the Feb 2 high (cont).

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