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Manheim Used Car Prices Add To Declines That Analysts Were Already Expecting

US DATA
  • Manheim used car prices fell -1.6% M/M in July on a mix, mileage and seasonally adjusted basis (or a non-seasonally adjusted -3.8%), building from the mid-month figure of -1.0%.
  • It follows a particularly heavy -4.2% from June and two months averaging -2.9% M/M, which in trend terms at least suggests renewed downward pressure on CPI used vehicles prices even if it can be hard to pinpoint M/M changes.
  • CPI used cars & trucks were broadly as expected back in June, falling -0.45% M/M after two particularly strong 4.4% increases in April and May, with those increases in turn following prior strength in auction prices.
  • Analysts were already expecting sizeable declines for used cars prices at the Thursday’s upcoming CPI release, with GS eyeing -3%, JPM -1.7% and MS -1.4%.

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