Free Trial

Mann: More tightening is needed

BOE
  • Jun-23 SONIA futures initially down 1.5 ticks on the release of the Mann speech as she says more tightening is needed. Bear in mind she is the most hawkish member.
  • "Monetary policy has taken a path which has been historically aggressive, but perhaps insufficiently so relative to the multiple shocks, the behaviours pushing up inflation, and the initial accommodative starting point."
  • "Financial conditions that are now looser than what likely will be needed to moderate the embedding of on-going inflation into the wage- and price-setting paths. I worry that this constellation could yield extended persistence of inflation into this year and the next. The resulting long period of time above the 2% target could increase the degree of backward-lookingness, or catch-up behaviour, in the system. Given that the risk of increasingly persistent inflation rises disproportionately with the share of backward-lookingness, I believe that more tightening is needed, and caution that a pivot is not imminent. In my view, a preponderance of turning points (Mann, 2023) is not yet in the data." (Old bolding).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.