February 11, 2025 08:52 GMT
BOE: Mann seems to pays more attention to MaPS than models for neutral rate
BOE
- Key point for us (in addition to what we learnt in the FT interview) is that she doesn't point to the BOE's updated model-based estimates for equilibrium (2.25-3.75%) but she points to the MaPS survey that has the neutral rate at 3.00-3.50%.
- This suggests that is more in line with her thinking.
- And if she wants to stay restrictive we are 100bp above the upper end of the neutral estimate.
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