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Market is Net Short USD Index For First Time in Three Years

CFTC
  • Last week’s CFTC CoT release showed the market swung to a net short USD for the first time since 2021 - potentially seeing the USD further exposed to corrective rallies on strong data releases – as was the case on yesterday’s ISM Manufacturing release. This may build focus for the ISM Services index due on Wednesday, as well as the Nonfarm Payrolls report following on Friday
  • NZD and CAD positions saw the most notable shifts last week, with net short positions across both currencies rising by over 10% of open interest. This puts
  • The GBP net long faded off a 52-week high as markets trimmed a net of 18k contracts across the week, while the CHF short position was trimmed modestly, by 1.4% of open interest.
  • This leaves the EUR and AUD positioning Z-scores as the lowest among all currencies surveyed, and the MXN the highest. Full data below:

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