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MNI DATA FORECASTS: US CPI In Market's Eye
Market participants are still talking about....>
STIR: Market participants are still talking about Brexit, but moves in STIR
futures this morning have been smaller than the past few days.
- Short Sterling Whites and Reds are down 1-2 ticks this morning as the market
sees a smaller chance of a no deal Brexit. However, Greens and Blues are largely
unchanged on the day.
- Ahead of the ECB policy announcement and press conference, the Euribor futures
strip has shifted lower today with most contracts around 0.5-1 tick lower.
- The Eurodollar futures strip is marginally higher today, with most contracts
0.5-1 tick higher.
- The Norges Bank meeting was marginally more hawkish than expected this
morning. MNI estimate that the probability of a hike in January is now 10% and
in March 90% (based on the Norges Bank rate projections) while rate hikes are
forecast to be slightly slower towards the end of the forecast horizon. Implied
rates on the H9, M9 and U9 FRAs rose between 1.5-2bp.
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MNI is the leading providerof intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.
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