Free Trial

Market react to the overnight Australian.....>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: Market react to the overnight Australian GDP release.
UBS - In line with our long-held view, Q3 real GDP bounced on a 'base effect',
but was below consensus & the RBA at 0.6% & 2.8% y/y. Indeed looking ahead,
despite booming public capex & better global growth lifting business conditions,
we reiterate "Q3 is close to a peak in growth, given a 'top' of housing activity
& flat prices, amid the lagged impact of macro prudential tightening, which
coupled with weak wages, implies slow consumption." Overall, parts of GDP were
positive, but this is still not hawkish for the RBA, given their forecast of a 3
1/4% boom ahead will likely be downgraded again. Hence, we still see the RBA "on
hold" until Nov -18, but with the risk of a later move.
ANZ - The result highlights the disparate influences on the economy at present,
with household spending under pressure but investment strong. We are encouraged
by the rise in wages, but it needs to be backed up by the Wage Price Index to
impact on RBA policy expectations for 2018.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.