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Market Recap Post Employment Reports

CANADA
  • A much stronger than expected US payrolls report dominated the weak Canadian jobs print, with OIS currently pricing in 34bps for March from ~29bps beforehand.
  • BAX futures are down 8-10 ticks across much of the curve, with the largest rise in later whites and more firmly implying 6 hikes through 2022.
  • GoCs are up ~6bps on the day across 2-10Y tenors with only the very long end outperforming with 30YY up 3bps. 2YY touched a pandemic-era high earlier of 1.3633%, up 36bps this year.
  • As part of broader USD strength, UDSCAD got close to testing the recent high of 1.2797 (Jan 28 high), after which it could open key resistance of the 1.2814 (Jan 6 high), but since pulled back a touch.

Source: Bloomberg, MNI

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