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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Market Roundup: Extending Highs Post Claims, 30YY Sub-3%
Extending highs post data (30YY below 3.0% at 2.9843%) follows carry-over risk-off supporting rates after midweek meltdown in equities, heavy volumes (TYM>875k) as yield curves extend flattening: 5s10s deepens inversion (-1.632 low) currently -0.888.
- Better buying across the curve after weekly claims climbs 218k vs. 200k est, Philly Fed 2.6 vs. 15.0 est. Two-way trade ahead Fri's June option expiration and the June/Sep rolling that is starting to ramp up (though roll volumes still modest).
- Stocks weaker but off late overnight lows (SPX emini futures ESM2 currently -30 at 3892.75). Supply shocks and operation costs still hitting large retailers: Kohl's -11.0% after earnings miss, profit guidance cut. Ross Stores (RSS) and Applied Materials (AMAT) annc after the close.
- Unscheduled Fed-speak: nothing really new from KC Fed George on CNBC noting inflation is "too high", Fed needs to "bring that down" while "financial conditions beginning to tighten". George "very comfortable" w/ 50bp hike.
- US 10Y technicals with TYM2 currently trading 120-05.5 (+23.5): Firmer but below 120-18+ High Apr 27. The trend direction is down and recent short-term gains are still considered corrective. Apr 27 high/key resistance represents an important short-term resistance where a break would signal scope for a stronger retracement. Key support and the bear trigger remains 117-08+, the May 9 low.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.