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Markets this morning have been a.......>

BOND SUMMARY
BOND SUMMARY: Markets this morning have been a little directionless as the
market looks ahead to the BOE MPC monetary policy decision and ECB TLTRO
allotment announcements. USTs and gilts marginally higher on the day but Bunds
lower on the day. Peripheral spreads are little changed too.
- The MPC is widely expected to announce a GBP100bln extension to its asset
purchase programme at today's meeting. The statement is also expected to state
that purchases will be "completed as soon as operationally possible". If
purchases are spread over a longer period, the market is likely to be
disappointed. But it will take a much larger than GBP100bln announcement for the
market to be substantially surprised in the other direction (given that more QE
is widely considered to be on the table in August). The decision will be
released along with the Monetary Policy Statement and Minutes at midday BST. A
press conference will be embargoed for 14:30BST.
- In terms of the TLTRO, sell-side estimates for gross takeup have a median of
EUR1.2trn, with a EUR900bln-1.5trn range in expectations.
- There will alos be focus on US continuing claims later today.

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