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May Housing Finance Strong As Housing Demand/Prices Rise

AUSTRALIA DATA

Home loans rose 4.8% m/m in May after an upwardly-revised -1% m/m. This brings housing finance to -20.5% y/y up from -25.1%. With CoreLogic house prices up 1.4% m/m in May and population over 15yrs rising 2.7% y/y, the highest since the series began, it is not surprising that May home lending bounced. Given these trends look like they will continue for now (June house prices rose 1.2% m/m), further strength in finance going forward is likely. Today’s stronger data rounds out a robust and resilient May for the economy and may be enough to result in another hike on Tuesday.

  • Finance for owner-occupiers rose 4% m/m after falling 1.4% in April. It is now down 20.2% y/y after -23.5%. Investors increased 6.2% m/m, highest rate since May 2021, to be down 21% y/y up from -28.1% y/y the previous month. 3-month momentum is now positive across the board suggesting future growth.
  • First-time homebuyers have also increased lending for home purchases despite poor affordability. Lending increased 5.5% for this group to be down 15.1% y/y. 3-month momentum is a huge 60.4% annualised.
Total new housing loans %

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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