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May Inflation Data Scheduled for 200BST/1500ET

ARGENTINA
  • Another high monthly print will likely lead 12-month inflation above 60% -- a record for the series that began in December 2017. Food and fuel inflation will still weigh on the result, but price gains should be widespread, with core inflation roughly matching the headline.
  • It is worth noting the BCRA announced rate hikes following the release of the CPI print in each of the past five months and so some analysts believe this could occur again. One estimate assumes policy makers could hike by a further 200 bps to 51% to keep real rates close to May levels.
    • 2000BST/1500ET: May Greater Buenos Aires CPI YoY, prior 59%; MoM prior 6.20%
    • 2000BST/1500ET: (Argent) May National CPI YoY, est. 60.60%, prior 58%; MoM est. 5.20%, prior 6.00%
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