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Michelin (A3/A-): New Issue FV Analysis

CONSUMER CYCLICALS

• IPT: EU500m WNG 7Y Fixed MS+80 Area, EU500m WNG 12Y Fixed MS+100 Area.

• We see FV at MS+50a, MS+70a.

• Tyre co Michelin has not issued since 2020, with bonds tightly held and CSPP effects leaving the curve tight for the rating; MLFP trades in line with one notch higher rated MBBGR (A2/A) who are also in the market today.

• MLFP also screens tight to parts maker RBOSGR, but Michelin does benefit from replacement tyres as well as new vehicle business, which dampens cyclicality somewhat vs OEMs and other parts businesses.


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