February 06, 2025 12:27 GMT
OIL: Mid-Day Oil Summary: Crude Slightly Higher
OIL
Oil prices have regained some ground today, though remain near their lowest levels this year on the back of increased trade protectionism, which could limit global growth.
- Brent APR 25 up 0.4% at 74.91$/bbl
- WTI MAR 25 up 0.4% at 71.34$/bbl
- The Brent time spreads have narrowed to the lowest since early Jan suggesting an easing of tight supply concern with a surplus possible in 2025 amid low global demand growth. Supply risks from sanctions on Russia and further sanctions on Iran had driven spreads higher in mid-January.
- Saudi Aramco sharply raised March oil prices to Asia for March in response to improving refinery margins and surging premiums of Middle East crude. Aramco raised the price of its Arab Light oil to Asia for March by $2.40/bbl to $3.9/bbl, the largest increase since August 2022.
- Donald Trump could ultimately prove to be a bearish influence on oil market, Citigroup said, with a forecast of $60-65/bbl through H2 2025.
- Chinese oil and gas importers are likely to try and seek waivers to try and avoid the latest retaliatory tariffs aimed at U.S. imports from Feb 10 Reuters sources report.
- The WTI crude options skew has turned more bearish this week amid market oversupply risks in 2025 as trade protectionism could limit global growth adding to concern for soft oil demand growth in China.
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