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MIDEAST: Axios-Israel Strikes On Iran In Oct Destroyed Active Nuke Research Site

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Axios reports that according to US and Israeli officials, the 25 October Israeli strikes on Iran destroyed an active nuclear weapons research facility. The Israeli strikes, in retaliation to an earlier Iranian missile barrage against Israel, were initially seen to be at the low-escalation end of the spectrum, targeting military sites. Indeed, the Taleghan 2 site at Parchin was according to previous reports believed to be inactive. However, the Axios story claims that "Israeli and U.S. intelligence began detecting research activity at Parchin earlier this year, including Iranian scientists conducting computer modeling, metallurgy and explosive research that could be used for nuclear weapons."

  • The 25 Oct strikes have, so far, marked the end of the tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel. The widespread view was that attacks on military sites would be seen as less escalatory, while hitting oil refineries or nuclear facilities would risk a wider regional conflict.
  • As Axios notes though, "Taleghan 2 was not part of Iran's declared nuclear program so the Iranians wouldn't be able to acknowledge the significance of the attackwithout admitting they violated the nuclear non-proliferation treaty." This would go some way to explaining Iran's reaction to the strikes, with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei saying they should not be 'exaggerated'.
  • International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi has been in Iran this week, with seemingly conciliatory language coming from Tehran suggesting that they are willing to negotiate with the E3 countries. 
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Axios reports that according to US and Israeli officials, the 25 October Israeli strikes on Iran destroyed an active nuclear weapons research facility. The Israeli strikes, in retaliation to an earlier Iranian missile barrage against Israel, were initially seen to be at the low-escalation end of the spectrum, targeting military sites. Indeed, the Taleghan 2 site at Parchin was according to previous reports believed to be inactive. However, the Axios story claims that "Israeli and U.S. intelligence began detecting research activity at Parchin earlier this year, including Iranian scientists conducting computer modeling, metallurgy and explosive research that could be used for nuclear weapons."

  • The 25 Oct strikes have, so far, marked the end of the tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel. The widespread view was that attacks on military sites would be seen as less escalatory, while hitting oil refineries or nuclear facilities would risk a wider regional conflict.
  • As Axios notes though, "Taleghan 2 was not part of Iran's declared nuclear program so the Iranians wouldn't be able to acknowledge the significance of the attackwithout admitting they violated the nuclear non-proliferation treaty." This would go some way to explaining Iran's reaction to the strikes, with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei saying they should not be 'exaggerated'.
  • International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi has been in Iran this week, with seemingly conciliatory language coming from Tehran suggesting that they are willing to negotiate with the E3 countries.