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Milk Futures Dominant Driver Last Week

NZD

NZD/USD correlations with Milk Futures have strengthened over the past week, standing out as a key macro driver in recent dealings. The table below presents levels of correlations between NZD and key macro drivers (note the yield differential reflects swap rates).

  • Last week's weakness in NZD/USD looks to be associated with falling milk futures prices. NZD/USD fell ~3%, its biggest weekly fall since late May.
  • The pair looked through widening rate differentials as well as strength in Global Commodity prices.
  • Over the longer time frame Global Commodity prices and global equities stand out as the dominant drivers.

Fig 1: NZD/USD Correlation with Global Macro Drivers:

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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