Free Trial

Minutes Show Risks on Growth/Inflation as Broadly Balanced

RBI

RBI Minutes from their last unchanged rate decision:

  • Spike in vegetable prices, led by tomatoes, would exert sizeable upside pressures on the near-term headline inflation trajectory. This jump is, however, likely to correct with fresh market arrivals.
  • CPI inflation projected at 5.4% for 2023-24, with Q2 at 6.2%, Q3 at 5.7% and Q4 at 5.2%, with risks evenly balanced.
  • Real GDP growth for 2023-24 is projected at 6.5% with Q1 at 8.0%; Q2 at 6.5%; Q3 at 6.0%; and Q4 at 5.7%, with risks broadly balanced.
  • Bank remains prepared to undertake policy responses, should the situation so warrant. The MPC also decided to remain focused on withdrawal of accommodation to ensure that inflation progressively aligns with the target, while supporting growth. Varma expressed reservations on this part of the resolution.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.