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Mixed G10 Performance As Markets Pause For Breath

FOREX
  • Following the volatile price action in the aftermath of Chair Powell’s remarks late Tuesday, currency markets traded in more subdued fashion today, remaining close to the prior day’s close approaching the APAC crossover.
  • A slew of Fed speakers prompted no market reactions and as such, the USD index sits just moderately lower on the session.
  • Underperforming is AUD, falling 0.4%, which is largely a reversal of the post-RBA optimism which underpinned the firmer price action on Tuesday.
  • Outperforming at the margin are GBP and CHF. For GBPUSD, today’s extension of the bounce stresses the importance of the 200-dma as support, which has successfully contained the most recent slip lower. The level crosses at 1.1948.
  • In emerging markets, the was divergent flows across CEEMEA, with USDZAR (+1.14%) printing fresh two-month highs ahead of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s State of the Nation Address on Thursday. Conversely, the Hungarian Forint outperformed, rising 1.2% and cementing the bearish technical trend for EURHUF that is currently in place.
  • Tomorrow there will be a lot of focus on the German prelim CPI print for January (due at 0700 GMT). This will likely garner market interest because it has direct implications for the Eurozone aggregate print, which was released last week with a Eurostat estimate for Germany. Additionally, the BOE Governor and MPC members will testify in front of Parliament’s Treasury Committee.

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