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Mkt digests the RBA decision,..........>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Mkt digests the RBA decision, initially blipping to fresh lows, YM
now little moved, XM up a touch vs. pre-decision. Bills unch.-5.0 ticks lower.
- The RBA left the cash rate unch. as exp. but has adopted a slightly more
aggressive tone when describing the potential for easing, although it still
notes that such a move will be made when it is deemed "needed to support
sustainable growth in the economy & the achievement of the inflation target over
time." The Bank's '19 GDP forecast will be nudged down to ~2.5% on Friday, going
by the statement, the Bank's CPI exp. for '20 may also be nudged down a touch on
Friday. On the labour market front the Bank stated that "the unemployment rate
is expected to decline over the next couple of years to around 5%," it was
already looking for unemployment of 5.0% in 2019 & 2020. On the trade war front
the Bank noted that "the increased uncertainty generated by the trade &
technology disputes is affecting investment & means that the risks to the global
economy remain tilted to the downside." While it stressed that the main domestic
uncertainty continues to be the outlook for consumption, even as it outlined
some supportive factors. IB's price a ~41% chance of a cut next month.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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