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MNI 5 THINGS: China January Exports Sizzle as Surplus Shrinks

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - China's imports and exports unexpectedly rebounded in
January. Below are highlights from the data released on Thursday by the customs
agency:
     - Exports rose 9.1% y/y to USD217.57 billion, beating the median of -2.0%
forecast in an MNI survey. It followed a 4.4% drop in December. Some analysts
suggested that the impact was due to the Chinese New Year holiday being 10 days
earlier than last year,  which led to exporters shifting February's shipments
into January.  
     - Imports were down -1.5% y/y compared with last month's -7.6% y/y,
exceeding -10.5% projected by the MNI survey. Imports remained lackluster
relative to the more robust exports, largely due to the Sino-US trade war, but
also weakened demand for crude oil and soybeans. Imports saw 36.9% y/y gain in
January 2018. 
     - The smaller imports helped narrow trade surplus to USD39.16 billion from
USD57.06 billion in December, the smallest in three months. It still beat MNI's
survey media of $32.5 billion.
- Exports to the U.S. fell 2.8% y/y to USD36.54 billion. Imports fell the most
ever, by 41.1% y/y to USD9.24 billion. China's surplus narrowed to USD27.30
billion, the least in eight months, from $29.87 billion in December. 
     - Exports to the EU and Japan rebounded to 14.5% y/y and 5.6% y/y, while
imports were 8.5% y/y and -1.2% y/y respectively.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
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