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Free Access**MNI 5 Things: US Payrolls Ripping +313k, Earnings +0.1%>
--5 Things We Learned From The February Employment Data
By Kevin Kastner, Sara Haire and Holly Stokes
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are the key points from the
February employment report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Friday:
- The payrolls data were very strong and could cause some
indigestion for market participants. The data show payrolls rose
313,000, a much larger gain than expected and following a sharp net
upward revision to December and January payrolls. Other data were more
in line with expectations, with the unemployment rate holding steady at
4.1% and hourly earnings up 0.1% (+0.14976%, very close to +0.2%) for a
2.6% year/year pace vs 2.8% year/year in January. Hourly earnings were
unrevised at +0.3% for January.
- Analysts had expected a 0.2% rise for hourly earnings, and
today's unrounded data shows it was almost rounded up to that point.
However, today's hourly earnings print was well below the 0.3% gain in
the whisper number, so that should provide some offset to the very
strong payrolls number. Average weekly hours bounced back up to 34.5 in
the month from 34.4 in January, along with payrolls lifting aggregate
hours by 0.6%.
- The jump in nonfarm payrolls included a 287,000 gain in private
jobs, also well above the 200,000 gain expected. An MNI analysis had
shown a tendency of analysts to underestimate payrolls in February, with
low misses in each of the last six years, so today's result continues
that trend.
- Payrolls in December and January were revised up by a net 54,000,
reflecting a upward revision to both December and January. The stronger
growth in February payrolls was led by strong gains in construction
(+61k), retail (+50k), government (+26k), and temporary help services
(+27k).
- The unemployment rate stayed at 4.1% (4.142% vs 4.149% in
January). Both household employment and unemployment rose while the
participation rate rose by 0.3pp to 63.0%. The U-6 Rate held steady at
8.2%.
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.